New York is less likely to experience direct hurricane strikes compared to southern states like Florida, but tropical storms and hurricane remnants can still bring heavy rain, flooding, and strong winds to the region. The updated NOAA forecast suggests a lower risk of major hurricanes this year, but residents should remain vigilant as the most active part of the season typically occurs in late summer and early fall. September and October are historically peak months for storms that could impact the Northeast. (Source: NOAA, Aug. 12, 2026)